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Congress locks in food tariffs—your grocery bill just got steeper.

S. 4945 — Home Market Restoration Act of 2026 · Filed by Bill Cassidy (R-LA) · Introduced Jul 13, 2026 · Referred to committee

75%
Transparency
Typical bill: 85%
25/100
Hidden-provision risk
Typical bill: 15/100
High concernAgricultural Protectionism via Tariff Quotas

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What it does

This bill imposes tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) on agricultural and seafood imports—shrimp, honey, crawfish, rice, and fish fillets from specific countries—allowing limited quantities to enter at standard tariff rates, with steep penalties (40–402% tariffs) on excess imports. It also raises base tariffs on sheep, goat, and beef meat, and live cattle, with quotas that decline over time. The bill protects domestic producers by making foreign agricultural products more expensive for U.S. importers and consumers.

Why we flagged it

The bill's core mechanism is import restriction through tariff-rate quotas and duty increases on food and livestock. It is functionally a trade-protection measure designed to shield domestic agricultural producers from foreign competition by making imports expensive.

What the text implies

  • Tariff-rate quotas with country-specific allocations may trigger retaliatory tariffs from affected exporters (Argentina, Ecuador, India, Vietnam, Thailand, China), escalating trade tensions.
  • Declining quotas on sheep/goat meat (2027–2036) signal intent to phase out imports entirely, potentially violating WTO commitments and trade agreements.
  • Inflation adjustment mechanism (Section 203) automatically escalates tariffs annually without further congressional action, compounding consumer price increases over time.
  • Honey duty structure ties tariffs to domestic production costs, creating a price-floor mechanism that insulates U.S. producers from market competition and may violate trade agreements.
  • Rice quotas exclude Canada and Mexico (USMCA partners) but impose strict limits on India, Pakistan, Thailand, Vietnam—concentrating market power and potentially raising prices for processed foods and restaurants reliant on imported rice.

Section numbers refer to the bill text the analysis read — linked under Primary records below.

Who it affects

Ordinary consumers face higher prices on seafood, honey, rice, and meat due to tariff increases and import restrictions that reduce supply competition. While domestic agricultural producers benefit, the broad public bears the cost through reduced choice and elevated food prices, with no offsetting consumer protection or public benefit.

Who stands to gain

  • U.S. shrimp producers and aquaculture operations
  • U.S. honey producers and beekeepers
  • U.S. crawfish farmers (Louisiana-based industry)
  • U.S. rice growers and agricultural cooperatives
  • U.S. catfish and siluriformes fish producers
  • U.S. sheep, goat, and beef cattle ranchers

Named in the bill

Argentina, Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Mexico, People's Republic of China, Thailand, Vietnam, Japan, Egypt, Spain, Pakistan — and 8 more

Where it stands

  • Jul 13, 2026 — Introduced · Congress.gov: “Introduced in Senate”
  • Jul 13, 2026 — Referred to Senate Committee on Finance · Congress.gov: “Read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance”

Dates and quoted wording are Congress.gov's action record; the timeline shows status changes, not every procedural step.

Money around this bill

2 lobbying clients named this bill on 2 disclosure filings across 1 quarter, Jun 2026 to Jun 2026. Those filings disclosed $835,000 in lobbying spend. A filing names 34 bills on average, so that figure is what each filing reported, not a share belonging to this bill.

More lobbying clients named this bill than 41% of bills with at least one filing.

Bill Cassidy, the sponsor, reported $1,329,254 in PAC receipts in the 2026 cycle.

  • National Restaurant Association — $790,000 on 1 filing
  • Southern Shrimp Alliance — $45,000 on 1 filing

Lobbying Disclosure Act filings through Jul 20, 2026. A filing shows who paid to lobby on a bill it names, not what changed.

How this was measured

Analysis — Quorum's AI read the bill text published by Congress.gov (28,409 characters) on Aug 12, 2026. Section numbers in the findings refer to that text, linked below; transparency and hidden-provision scores are compared against the median of 16,222 analysed bills.

Status and sponsors — Congress.gov's bill record — actions, committee referrals and cosponsors — loaded nightly. The timeline shows status changes, not every procedural action.

Money — Senate Lobbying Disclosure Act filings whose specific-issue field names this bill for quarters ending Jun 2026 to Jun 2026. A filing's amount is reported whole beside the median number of bills a filing names; it is never divided across them. PAC receipts are FEC-reported contributions to the sponsor's candidate committee in the 2026 cycle.

As of — lobbying records through Jul 20, 2026 · page rendered 2026-10-20.

“Congress locks in food tariffs—your grocery bill just got steeper.” QuorumCivic. https://share.quorumcivic.app/bill/119/s4945 Report an error

Correlative observation from public records — not evidence of coordination or wrongdoing, and not financial advice.
This page is the record as of today. The app tells you when it changes.
Quorum analysis of the full bill text · 119th Congress · public record

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