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Bill intelligence

Congress taxes oil profits, rebates gas prices to voters quarterly

S. 4111 — Big Oil Windfall Profits Tax Act · Filed by Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) · 13 cosponsors · Introduced Mar 17, 2026 · Referred to committee

72%
Transparency
Typical bill: 82%
35/100
Hidden-provision risk
Typical bill: 15/100
High concernWindfall Profits Tax with Consumer Rebate

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What it does

This bill imposes a quarterly excise tax on crude oil producers and importers when oil prices exceed 2025 baseline levels, taxing 50% of the price increase per barrel. Revenues fund direct rebates to eligible individual taxpayers (with income phase-outs), effectively passing the tax burden from oil companies to consumers at the pump. The tax applies to producers extracting or importing more than 300,000 barrels per day, with inflation adjustments beginning in 2027.

Why we flagged it

The bill imposes a quarterly excise tax on crude oil producers when prices exceed a 2025 baseline, with revenues funding direct gasoline price rebates to eligible individuals. This is fundamentally a revenue-raising and price-stabilization mechanism targeting energy producers.

What the text implies

  • The 50% tax rate on price increases above the 2025 baseline creates a significant disincentive for crude oil production during high-price quarters, potentially reducing domestic supply and shifting extraction to lower-tax jurisdictions.
  • The gasoline rebate mechanism (Section 6436) creates a direct fiscal transfer from oil producers to consumers, but the rebate amount is determined quarterly by the Secretary—introducing administrative discretion and potential political manipulation of consumer payments.

The full analysis lists 5 implications of this text.

Who stands to gain

Individual consumers (via gasoline price rebates); Smaller independent oil producers (below 300k bbl/day threshold); US territories with mirror-code tax systems

Correlative observation from public records — not evidence of coordination or wrongdoing, and not financial advice.
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Quorum analysis of the full bill text · 119th Congress · public record