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Bill intelligence

Congress phases out renewable energy tax credits, favoring fossil fuels

H.R. 3291 — Certainty for Our Energy Future Act · Filed by Jennifer Kiggans (R-VA) · 10 cosponsors · Introduced May 8, 2025 · Referred to committee

65%
Transparency
Typical bill: 82%
35/100
Hidden-provision risk
Typical bill: 15/100
High concernRenewable Energy Tax Credit Elimination

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What it does

This bill terminates federal tax credits for wind and solar energy facilities that begin construction after December 31, 2030, and denies all clean energy tax benefits to companies controlled by or connected to China, Russia, Iran, or North Korea. It effectively phases out the primary financial incentives for renewable energy development while creating a geopolitical carve-out that bars foreign-linked entities from federal clean energy support.

Why we flagged it

The bill's core function is to terminate federal tax incentives for wind and solar energy and deny clean energy credits to foreign-linked entities. Despite the title's framing around 'certainty,' the mechanism is a direct phase-out of renewable subsidies and a geopolitical restriction on clean energy investment.

What the text implies

  • The December 31, 2030 sunset date creates a cliff effect: projects must begin construction before that date to qualify, potentially accelerating near-term development but eliminating long-term renewable investment certainty.
  • The 'country of concern' definition is broad and may capture U.S. companies with foreign supply chains, joint ventures, or minority foreign ownership, creating compliance uncertainty and potential disputes over 'control' thresholds.

The full analysis lists 4 implications of this text.

Who stands to gain

nuclear energy companies; fossil fuel producers; natural gas utilities

Correlative observation from public records — not evidence of coordination or wrongdoing, and not financial advice.
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Quorum analysis of the full bill text · 119th Congress · public record